基于OPGD模型的昆明市植被NPP空演变及驱动机制
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昆明理工大学

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国家自然科学基金项目(42301304);昆明理工大学校人培基金项目(KKZ3202421124);云金地青年科研基金项目(2024-02);测绘科学与地球空间信息技术自然资源部重点实验室联合资助基金项目(2024-04-14);云南省哲学社会科学规划项目(ZD202315)


Spatiotemporal Evolution And Influencing Factors Of NPP In Kunming City Based On The OPGD Model
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Kunming University of Science and Technology

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    摘要:

    [目的]厘清植被净初级生产力(NPP)演变规律及驱动因素对测算植被的固碳能力和支撑碳交易等具有重要的意义。[方法]基于MODIS-NPP数据,运用Tail-Sen中值趋势法和Mann-Kendall检验法分析了2001-2020年昆明市植被NPP的时空动态特征,并采用参数最优地理检测器(OPGD)模型揭示了气候、地形和人为因素对植被NPP的影响机制。[结果](1)昆明市植被NPP在空间上呈“西高-东低”的分布格局,并以7.08 g.C.m-2/a的速度显著增加;(2)植被景观破碎化程度加剧,在空间上破碎度与植被NPP错位分布,其对植被NPP时空分布有显著负向作用;(3)植被NPP变化是气候、人为活动和地形因素共同作用的结果,其中,核归一化植被指数(kNDVI)、地表温度、植被景观破碎度解释力强于气温、降水和坡度等因子,因子间交互作用能更好地解释植被NPP的时空变化。[结论]昆明市近20a植被NPP总体呈增加态势,但主城区少部分地区形势不容乐观,未来应综合统筹,科学推进生态保护与社会经济的协调发展。

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    [Objective]Clarifying net primary productivity (NPP) changes and driving factors is of great significance to measure the carbon sequestration capacity of vegetation and support carbon sink trading. [Objective]We obtained net primary productivity date based on MODIS-NPP data, and combining the Theil-Sen Median trend analysis, Mann-Kendall test, and revealed the net primary productivity characteristics of spatiotemporal variation in Kunming from 2001 to 2020. We also adopted the optimal parameters-based geographical detectors (OPGD) model to explore the fluence mechanisms of climate, topography and anthropogenic factors on NPP. [Results] (1) The annual mean distribution of vegetation NPP in the Kunming City was spatially and temporally heterogeneous, with a distribution pattern with higher in the west and lower in the east, and increased significantly at an average annual growth rate of 7.08 g.c.m-2/a. (2) The increased fragmentation of the vegetation landscape had a significant negative effect on the vegetation NPP, which was mismatched with the annual mean of vegetation NPP; and the change of vegetation NPP was a result of the increase in the fragmentation of the landscape and a significant negative effect on the spatial and temporal distribution of vegetation NPP. (3) Changes in vegetation NPP are the result of the combined effects of climatic, anthropogenic and topographic factors, in which the kernel Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (kNDVI), land surface temperature, and vegetation landscape fragmentation have stronger explanatory power than the factors of temperature, precipitation, and slope, and the interaction between the factors better explains the spatial and temporal changes in vegetation NPP. The study provides methodological ideas for research on the carbon sink capacity of vegetation and terrestrial ecosystems in similar regions.[Conclusion]Over the past two decades, the Net Primary Productivity (NPP) of vegetation in Kunming has generally shown an increasing trend. However, the ecological situation in certain areas of the main urban district remains concerning. Moving forward, comprehensive planning should be implemented to scientifically promote the coordinated development of ecological protection and socio-economic growth, ensuring both sustainable environmental improvement and the balanced progress of urbanization.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-10-16
  • 最后修改日期:2024-11-08
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-02-21
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